Is automation taking jobs away?

There鈥檚 a concern, on the one hand, that technological innovation leaves a huge imbalance between supposedly 鈥渄eveloped鈥 countries, and those that are not as far ahead. Bridging that gap, argue many Nobel Laureates in Economics, is a way to ensure that technological innovation benefits everyone.

Robert Merton argues that advances in technology democratize access to key parts of the economy, especially in the financial system. 鈥淲hat we are going through now, all around the world, is a huge implementation of financial innovation driven by enormous big steps forward in financial technology, computing power, big data, which holds the promise to vastly reduce the cost of financial services.鈥 This, Merton argues, actually benefits those who are currently underserved by the global financial system.

It鈥檚 not all positive, however. 鈥淭he growth model that has been successful in most of the post-war period is a growth model based on high levels of investment and connectivity to the global economy,鈥 says Nobel Laureate Michael Spence. Countries without rich natural resources often ground their economic output in manufacturing. With the rise of digital economies, these countries are at greater risk of falling behind, as they rely on labor-intensive manufacturing and assembly, like apparels, textiles, shoes.

The people who have suffered are the ones whose jobs were replaceable by the machines.
Michael Spence

When discussing the future of advanced technology in terms of automation and artificial intelligence, Spence worries about the gap between those who can work alongside machines, versus those who don鈥檛 have the requisite skills and get left behind. For the educated, he says, 鈥渕achines are complementary and increase your power. The people who have suffered in the data that we have are the ones whose jobs were replaceable by the machines.鈥

Regulation is as much, if not more important than technological advances, at least as far as leveling the playing field goes, argues Nobel Laureate Paul Romer. 鈥淚f those new technologies are accompanied by the right rules and norms, then you can get the good parts of those new possibilities without the harmful side-effects. As a society, we鈥檝e got to think just as explicitly about developing rules and norms, as we are about discovering new technologies.鈥

We鈥檝e got to think just as explicitly about developing rules and norms, as we are about discovering new technologies.
Paul Romer

Wikipedia is the perfect example of benevolent technology that drives growth, argues Romer. This is opposed to the rest of the tech innovation sphere, which is largely driven (and subject to) the advertising model. 鈥淭he only way,鈥 says Romer, 鈥渨e鈥檙e going to get more of the tech world that produces the kind of valuable services that Wikipedia offers is if we act through our government and say, 鈥榶ou鈥檝e got to stop doing bad stuff. Do something that鈥檚 good for everybody.鈥欌

鈥淭echnology, if we鈥檙e not careful, can drive inequality. The top 20 tech companies in the world are based in America and China,鈥 notes Jean Tirole. 鈥淭he value creation in tech is going to be basically in two countries,鈥 he adds. 鈥淭hat鈥檚 going to create a fair amount of inequality across countries.鈥 Domestically, that pattern is mirrored. 鈥淢any people will gain from tech, but usually they are highly educated.鈥

It comes down to inequality, agrees Nobel Laureate Christopher Pissarides. The only way to balance it out is through education. 鈥淟ifelong learning is absolutely essential in today鈥檚 economy because the type of knowledge that we require is changing so fast.鈥

Lifelong learning is absolutely essential in today鈥檚 economy.
Christopher Pissarides

Ultimately, says Pissarides, it鈥檚 about purposeful inclusion. He says we must 鈥渁void shifting any burden from the job destruction to a small group of workers. And here is where I see a big role for government policy in dealing with inequality and in dealing with those who need to make the transition from the jobs that are being made obsolete, that leave the market, to the new jobs that are being created.鈥

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Learn more about these Laureates

Christopher Pissarides

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Christopher Pissarides

Nobel Laureate, 2010

Jean Tirole

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Jean Tirole

Nobel Laureate, 2014

Michael Spence

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Michael Spence

Nobel Laureate, 2001

Paul Romer

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Paul Romer

Nobel Laureate, 2018

Robert Merton

How can we reestablish trust in the financial sector?

Robert Merton

Nobel Laureate, 1997

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