Investors are increasingly conscious of the environmental and social impact of activities ranging from metal extraction to forestry. We outline a new approach that could offer a way to consider relevant environmental and social factors to commodity investments.

Investment in commodities is often intrinsically linked to strong inflation, supply chain disruption, market volatility, and geopolitical tensions. And while environmental and social issues are widely considered when investing in equities and bonds, the same is not typically the case with commodities. A lack of E&S-focused products in the commodities sphere means it has been difficult for investors to gain exposure to this asset class while taking these issues into consideration.

Although the extraction and production of commodities can be associated with environmental and social harms – ranging from deforestation and habitat destruction to hazardous working conditions – vital renewable technologies are heavily reliant on raw materials like lithium, copper and aluminum. It is therefore important to balance both sides of the moral ledger, acknowledging the dual reality at play.

Building on our expertise in commodity investing

Recognizing the growing focus on E&S factors, as well as ongoing interest in commodity investing, we launched the CMCI Future Commodity, which is based on the ÃÛ¶¹ÊÓƵ CMCI (Constant Maturity Commodity Index). The CMCI has provided an enhanced beta exposure to global commodity markets for over 15 years. The CMCI Future Commodity builds on this experience in order to provide a liquid benchmark.

It incorporates a proprietary scoring from rfu research, a leading sustainable investment consultant (see the box, below). This provides a full value-chain framework for measuring the ecological and social ratings in the CMCI, allowing us to adjust the weight of the underlying commodities in accordance with their ES profiles.

Environmental and social risks and opportunities in commodity investing

There are also opportunities for investors to drive positive change in the sector. From an environmental standpoint, risks include exacerbation of climate change through carbon emissions, other types of pollution, as well as harms related to land use (such as loss of biodiversity and the destruction of ecosystems). In social terms, commodity production in developing markets, in particular, is often linked to low employment standards and even human-rights abuses and corruption.

There is considerable scope for investors and other market participants, including end users, to call for the introduction of more sustainable practices that can improve ESG performance. This could involve updating production techniques to make greater use of recycling or organic methods; producers can be encouraged to seek ways to extend commodities’ life cycles, as well as to use their output in sustainable applications such as renewable energy installations. Healthy ecosystem management, biodiversity loss, and land use in general are also key considerations.

In terms of social factors, low employment standards and even human-rights abuses and corruption can be tracked and improved. While far from being guaranteed, commodity production has the potential to be a significant source of wealth for developing nations and therefore could play a role in addressing global income inequality.

CMCI Future Commodity: methodology and investment approach

CMCI employs an advanced approach to commodity investing that aims to deliver an enhanced beta exposure to commodity markets:

  • Innovative constant-maturity approach: the maturity of each commodity component remains fixed at a predefined time interval from the current date at all times. This constant maturity concept is achieved by a continuous rolling process, where a weighted percentage of contracts are swapped for longer-dated contracts on a daily basis. This produces a more continuous form of commodity exposure and provides a better balance of forward price behavior than is available from traditional indices.
  • Diversification across tenors: the CMCI is the first commodity index that introduces diversification across maturities. The index takes positions across the liquid part of the futures curve and does not concentrate exposure on the front part of the curve.
  • Minimizing negative roll yield: while the above features aim to reduce the problems of futures contracts rolling costs and maximize tracking to underlying spot commodity prices. Yet, the methodology does not guarantee complete mitigation of negative roll yield.

CMCI daily rolling methodology

The chart shows the daily rolling methodology.
Source: ÃÛ¶¹ÊÓƵ

The chart showcases the daily rolling methodology which involves future contracts being continuously rolled over across their maturity.

Traditional monthly rolling methodology

The chart depicts the traditional monthly rolling methodology.
Source: ÃÛ¶¹ÊÓƵ

The chart shows the traditional rolling methodology where future contracts are rolled over on a monthly basis across their maturity.

To help us achieve this, in partnership with rfu research the CMCI Future Commodity incorporates environmental and social criteria into CMCI to improve its portfolio level ecological-social rating over time. We aim to minimize the deviation of this index from the CMCI while also controlling for liquidity and diversification.

Besides its focus on the overall environmental-social profile of the index, the CMCI Future Commodity leverages CMCI's tenor diversification to enhance its transition characteristics. The CMCI weights future tenors across the curve in accordance with a 75% liquidity and 25% equal-weighting rule. For the CMCI Future Commodity, longer-dated tenors are overweighted in comparison to maturity for commodities with a higher weight than the CMCI benchmark. This strategy is designed to increase allocation at the back end of the curve, while also enhancing liquidity for producers.

How commodity ratings are created

The rfu research Ecological-Social Commodity rating considers each commodity’s environmental and social impact over its entire life cycle, from production to utilization.1 These ratings are based on an analysis of factors across four key areas:

  • Social impact: covering the likes of employee income and working conditions; human rights issues; governance; the impact on local communities; and the social implications of the commodity’s utilization.
  • ·¡²Ô±¹¾±°ù´Ç²Ô³¾±ð²Ô³Ù²¹±ôÌý¾±³¾±è²¹³¦³Ù:Ìýthis focuses on emissions; water and energy use; biodiversity impact; and end-of-life recycling rates.
  • Production impact: this rating is based on the geographical origin of the commodity, supplemented by commodity-specific findings from sources such as the media, as well as statistics from international institutions, industry associations and scientific studies.
  • Utilization: the positive usage of commodities can act to offset negative impacts in the production stage – for example, if they are used in applications such as solar energy or medical technology.

Over the coming decade, we can expect to see changes to the composition of the CMCI Future Commodity as it incorporates more commodities with better ecological-social ratings. As the likes of carbon futures, renewable energy, cobalt and lithium become more commoditized and liquid, they can be expected to play a more important role in the transition. Meanwhile, changes in technology, utilization and recycling rates should also drive changes in ratings.

Changes in the composition of the CMCI Future Commodity

The chart illustrates the changes in the composition of the CMCI Future Commodity.
Source: ÃÛ¶¹ÊÓƵ

As the targeted E-S score increases, the Sustainability Transition deviates from CMCI Allocation. Agriculture and Metals increase, while Energy and Live Stock decrease.

rfu research

Founded in Austria in 1997, rfu research specializes in sustainable investment research. The firm has developed a methodology to assess the environmental and societal impact of commodities, as well as to support consistent measurement of commodities against ESG-related investment risks.

Historically, rfu research focused on the 15 most important metals and energy products. Since 2020, this coverage has been expanded to over 50 products, including all important metals, energy and agricultural products, and also less widely traded commodities such as pulp, lithium and emission certificates. The firm currently provides research for client portfolios with a combined asset value of around EUR 30 billion.

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